Author Archives: Zenonas Tziarras

The Future of Energy Security in Southeastern Europe and the Establishment of the Greek EEZ

Given the growing interest in the energy developments of the Eastern Mediterranean, and Southeastern Europe more generally, this article looks at the importance of this region for the energy security of Europe, and more specifically the European Union (EU), focusing on what role Greece could or should play through the establishment of its own Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ).

Setting the Geographical Framework

Since we are referring to Southeastern Europe we should first, briefly, set the geographical boundaries of this region. The name Southeastern Europe was firstly used in 1863 by Johann Georg von Hahn and it came to be a synonym to, and characterize the Balkan Peninsula.[1] Other scholars argued for a wider Southeastern Europe that extends as far as Turkey, Cyprus, and even, for example, Georgia, Moldova, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Ukraine.[2] Leaving aside the long-standing debate on the boundaries of Europe, we would argue that given the UN map of Europe[3] and the present geographical boundaries of the EU, including the candidate states for EU membership, Southeastern Europe includes the Balkans in the West, Turkey in the East, the Greek Islands and Cyprus in the South, and extends, roughly, to Ukraine in the North.[4]

Continue reading

New Perspectives on the Sociology of the Arab Spring – mark II

This is a follow-up article (mark II) to “The Sociology of the Arab Spring: A Revolt or a Revolution?”, which took a sociological approach in explaining the Arab uprisings, that spread throughout the Middle East since the end of the last year, and reached a conclusion on whether the Arab Spring consists of revolts or revolutions. Although at the time the first article was published many uprisings in different countries were still in progress, as they are right now, in retrospect, it seems that our analysis and conclusions did not fall far from reality. Thus, given the importance of these developments for the region and the world as well as the great interest shown for the first article, we considered the analysis of the currently unfolding events in the Middle East to be expedient. Hence, the purpose of this article is twofold: 1) the analysis of the new developments in Libya, Syria and Egypt, based on the theoretical framework that was set in the first article; and 2) the comparison of the conclusions of the two articles, thus evaluating our initial findings regarding the nature of the Arab Spring.

For the sake of coherence a few basic elements of the theoretical framework are repeated. Firstly, this article accepts that a “revolution” is a social movement that: a) is massive, b) leads to fundamental and systemic changes or reforms, and c) requires the use of violence.[i] Furthermore, revolutions are of larger scale, they last longer and have more extensive outcomes than revolts.

Continue reading

Clausewitz’s Remarkable Trinity Today

Clausewitzian[1] concepts, although interlinked vary while many of them are very controversial. Perhaps the most controversial one is the “Remarkable/Paradoxical Trinity”. As Clausewitz himself puts it, the “paradoxical trinity” is “composed of primordial violence, hatred and enmity, which are to be regarded as a blind natural force; of the play of chance and probability within which the creative spirit is free to roam; and of its element of subordination, as an instrument of policy, which makes it subject to reason alone”.[2] He then wrote that the above “three aspects”, concern “mainly” (emphasis added) “the people”, the commander and his army” and the “government”, respectively.[3]

The latter simplification was used by Harry Summers in his two books, “On Strategy”, about the Vietnam War[4] and the First Gulf War[5] as a framework for strategic analysis. Other authors such as Mary Kaldor and John Keegan argued that the nature of warfare has changed and that the Trinitarian analysis is therefore, nowadays, irrelevant.[6] Specifically they argue that there is not anymore a separation between the society and the military as well as that wars are being fought by non-state actors, and therefore actors without governments.

Continue reading

Η Τουρκία Μεταξύ Εξαναγκαστικής Διπλωματίας και Διπλωματίας Καταστροφών

Ο ισχυρός σεισμός που σημειώθηκε στην Τουρκία στις 23 Οκτ., έντασης 7.3 στην κλίμακα ρίχτερ, άφησε πίσω του εκατοντάδες νεκρούς, τραυματίες και άστεγους. Το περιστατικό αυτό αποτελεί μια ακόμα κρίση την οποία η χώρα καλείται να αντιμετωπίσει μετά τις πρόσφατες πολύνεκρες επιθέσεις των Κούρδων ανταρτών, ενώ η χρονική και γεωγραφική συγκυρία των δύο προβλημάτων κάνουν τα πράγματα ακόμα πιο δύσκολα για την Τουρκία.

 Παράλληλα, η περιφερειακή σταθερότητα την παρούσα χρονική περίοδο είναι πολύ εύθραυστη και η ασφάλεια στα τουρκικά σύνορα διατηρείται με νύχια και με δόντια από το τουρκικό κράτος είτε με τη ζώνη ασφαλείας στα σύνορά με τη Συρία και με απειλές κατά του καθεστώτος Αλ Άσαντ, είτε με στρατιωτικές επιχειρήσεις στο Βόρειο Ιράκ κατά των Κούρδων ανταρτών, είτε συμπράττοντας με το Ιράν για το Κουρδικό. Το γεγονός ότι ο σεισμός έπληξε περιοχές που βρίσκονται στην Ανατολική Τουρκία, πολύ κοντά στα σύνορα με το Ιράν, στην καρδιά – ουσιαστικά – του Κουρδικού προβλήματος, αποτελεί για την Τουρκία μια ιδιαίτερα αρνητική εξέλιξη. Περαιτέρω, η αντιμετώπιση αυτής της κρίσης θα μπορούσε πιθανώς να επηρεάσει την αντιμετώπιση του Κουρδικού και αντιστρόφως.

Continue reading

Thoughts on "New" Terrorism

After the end of the Cold War, along with the emergence of the Contemporary Security and Human Security agenda, the discourse on the effects of globalization on the nature of warfare and irregular warfare (e.g. terrorism) has acquired much prominence. Within this context some scholars adopted the word “new” as a way of characterizing what they perceived as the result of the impact of globalization – and the post-Cold War international order – on wars and terrorism for example; thus, theses such as “New Wars” or “New Terrorism”.

Focusing on terrorism, it is true that it went through certain changes during the course of history; however, the word “new” is too absolute to describe these changes. There is not a clear distinction between “old” and “new” terrorism. There are only a few new characteristics that gradually emerged due to globalization and evolution dynamics, which do not constitute fundamental changes and could be simply attributed to evolution.

Continue reading